Correlation, Causation, Facts and the TPP

June 12, 2015

Post hoc, ergo propter hoc means “after this, therefore, because of this,” and is a logical fallacy. Every action has consequences, but subsequent events may or may not be related to the prior event. The concept gets expressed slightly differently, and in English, as “correlation does not imply causation.”

I have been following the Trans-Pacific Partnership aka TPP trade deal just a little bit. I’ve also been following the developing battle between President Obama and Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.). He supports the TPP; she doesn’t.

Senator Warren is one of my heroes. She’s scary smart, focused on regular people, and seemingly incorruptible. She may be wrong about the TPP, too.

When trade matters come before Congress, all roads

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